A salam o Alykum
I am really disappointed by PTI performance in latest election .not only disappointed but really sad , its not only a defeat for PTI as a party for all those people who wants to defeat the traditional political system of feudals , industrialists , family politics culture etc.But things will not be clear untill and unless PTI sincerely think about the reasons behind its defeat.
I think this is the time when PTI should come out of this “pandora” world and face the reality.Their Pathetic performance in NA-55 bi-elections is hard to digest but a truthful picture of their standing in national politics.
Their young members should acknowledge the fact that world of internet is far different than our real world.Winning polls on internet forums will not make them a genuine political party who have roots among people.Apart from their over confidence they committed few grave mistakes which i want to focus here one by one.
1 – PTI does not have any clear Opponent
It may sounds a bit confusing but thats the truth.PTI does not know to whom they should target in elections.They do not know their opponents in Punjab , in sindh , in NWFP , in balochistan , in GB , in AJK etc.Their members who likes to flood different political forums on internet are more busy in MQM bashing due to ethnic reasons rather than helping their own party in identifying their true rivals in national politics.The major blunder from PTI in this current bi-election was like a headless chicken who have no vision and cannot see whats ahead.Lets consider a scenario of cricket team as PTI has more expereince in this sport.
Consider there is a cricket team which is aiming to fight a very crucial match , they have been trying their best in nets and practicing since months , trying to find out best combination of batsmen and bowlers , stadium is full of spectators , all eyes on them , n that cricket team is unaware of the opponent they will face in ground , how would it sounds to you . WHAT , the team does not even know to whom they are fighting , than how can they prepapre for this match , how can they devise their strategy ? , well YES this is exactly the situation with Imran Khan’s Tehreek-e-Insaf.
In current politics , they want to bring change in whole country , they want to target all poilitical parties , in all provinces , they want to change whole system , ignoring the ground realities of country.
Let me be specific about yesterday’s election . In NA-55 PTI did not identify any opponent to whom against they should run their campaign.There voters were confused that which policies they are favoring and which policies they are against.
Sheikh Rasheed was quite clear in his mind , he was targetting PML-N , and same for shakeel awan , he was focusing on sheikh rasheed rather than PTI and JI , they were running their campaign against each other where PTI and JI seemed to be “begani shadi me abdullah deewana” in this campaign.
PTI should have targetted PML-N , specially Nawaz Shareef , most of PTI workers targetted sheikh rasheed which benefitted PML-N candidate , i remember two days ago on insaf forum , one boy was saying that he will take copies of sheikh rasheed statements against benazeer and will distribute in rawalpindi streets ,
, well what this PTI member was thinking , to whom he was serving , certainly not PTI , because either PPP voters would have voted for PML-N or AML , but certainly not for extreme right wing parties like JI and PTI.
In my opinion , PTI should confront Nawaz League head on in Punjab , I think Nawaz League have rightly came to conclusion that they might face future opposition from PTI therefore they are talking for coalition with PTI.Yesterday Khwaja saad rafique very cleverly offered a coalition to PTI because they know the potential of PTI , but PTI themselves do not understand their force.
2 – Which Province to be given more priority ?
As i have suggested many times before , PTI should stop strange politics of bashing MQM and rather focus on national level.They have a good edge over MQM that they may be more popular than MQM in punjab , and Punjab is THE KEY in pakistani politics , One who grabs punjab will take government . Karachi is not the key
. May be its hard to digest for PTI members but seriously PTI cannot beat MQM in Karachi in next 20 years , n its due to MQM performance at city districk government level , people of karachi wont like to see another one messing with CDGK , so they will stick to MQM.Anyway topic is not MQM performance in CDGK so i come to point that PTI should focus in those areas which matters in pakistani politics and at the same time they have a chance to win those areas.
Primary focus on NWFP
PTI has a very good chance in NWFP . This province has a culture of adopting new political ideas , electing those who come up with brand new , unknown and honest leadership , we have witnessed it many times inlcuding 2002 election when MMA swept across the province . A local imam of mosque defeated giants of ANP.So PTI should work hard to gather support in NWFP and than in election they should make an alliance with Jamat-e-Islami.Both are extreme right wing parties and by contesting election seperately they actually divide their voter base.So better to fight in election together.
Punjab :
As i have already discussed that Punjab is the KEY.You win in Punjab alone and you can rule the country.So PTI should focus in south and west punjab where nawaz league is not so strong and have a chance to defeat them.PTI can ask different independent candidates or honest politicians from PML-Q to join their ranks including sheikh waqas akram , Danial aziz , Hiraj brothers also they can make alliance with MQM in south Punjab but i know this sincere suggestion will be drowned under the sea of arrogance from PTI side.
Sindh :
In Rural Sindh they can opt for sindhi nationalist parties who are ready to leave “azad sindhudesh slogan” and now willing to take part in national politics .Rasool Bakhsh Palijo , Qadir Magsi or similar people who have no feudal background can contribute in making a good alliance .Although MQM is natural partner of PTI in rural sindh as well but again , arrogance is what the hurdle in their decision.
Balochistan :
In balochistan , PTI can ask nationalist parties like BNP(Dr Hayee group) or other parties which are not under the influence of Sardars and feudals.
3 – Choosing the right candidate
There may be two areas in whole pakistan where votes are not being casted on the basis of bradari system.
1-NWFP
2-Major urban centers (Karachi & Lahore)
But elsewhere people do consider their bradari system , sectarian issue , ethnic issue .So while choosing a candidate PTI should consider the ground realities of that area as well.You cannot implement the same rule in Karachi and Mansehra.Both have different demographics and different mindset of people.
Conclusion :
Its time for PTI to leave the politics of arrogance and come with real solution to “win elections” , talking , writing on internet , calling themselves as shaheen/tigers blabla will not change the scenario anymore.They should make political alliances wherever they need , they should select the right candidate , they should rightly identify the opponent in respective areas.Also an important factor , they should not go the etreme limit in politics so that they cannot return(am talking in reference to PTI MQM relationship) .
I think this is the time when PTI should come out of this “pandora” world and face the reality.Their Pathetic performance in NA-55 bi-elections is hard to digest but a truthful picture of their standing in national politics.
Their young members should acknowledge the fact that world of internet is far different than our real world.Winning polls on internet forums will not make them a genuine political party who have roots among people.Apart from their over confidence they committed few grave mistakes which i want to focus here one by one.
1 – PTI does not have any clear Opponent
It may sounds a bit confusing but thats the truth.PTI does not know to whom they should target in elections.They do not know their opponents in Punjab , in sindh , in NWFP , in balochistan , in GB , in AJK etc.Their members who likes to flood different political forums on internet are more busy in MQM bashing due to ethnic reasons rather than helping their own party in identifying their true rivals in national politics.The major blunder from PTI in this current bi-election was like a headless chicken who have no vision and cannot see whats ahead.Lets consider a scenario of cricket team as PTI has more expereince in this sport.
Consider there is a cricket team which is aiming to fight a very crucial match , they have been trying their best in nets and practicing since months , trying to find out best combination of batsmen and bowlers , stadium is full of spectators , all eyes on them , n that cricket team is unaware of the opponent they will face in ground , how would it sounds to you . WHAT , the team does not even know to whom they are fighting , than how can they prepapre for this match , how can they devise their strategy ? , well YES this is exactly the situation with Imran Khan’s Tehreek-e-Insaf.
In current politics , they want to bring change in whole country , they want to target all poilitical parties , in all provinces , they want to change whole system , ignoring the ground realities of country.
Let me be specific about yesterday’s election . In NA-55 PTI did not identify any opponent to whom against they should run their campaign.There voters were confused that which policies they are favoring and which policies they are against.
Sheikh Rasheed was quite clear in his mind , he was targetting PML-N , and same for shakeel awan , he was focusing on sheikh rasheed rather than PTI and JI , they were running their campaign against each other where PTI and JI seemed to be “begani shadi me abdullah deewana” in this campaign.
PTI should have targetted PML-N , specially Nawaz Shareef , most of PTI workers targetted sheikh rasheed which benefitted PML-N candidate , i remember two days ago on insaf forum , one boy was saying that he will take copies of sheikh rasheed statements against benazeer and will distribute in rawalpindi streets ,
, well what this PTI member was thinking , to whom he was serving , certainly not PTI , because either PPP voters would have voted for PML-N or AML , but certainly not for extreme right wing parties like JI and PTI.In my opinion , PTI should confront Nawaz League head on in Punjab , I think Nawaz League have rightly came to conclusion that they might face future opposition from PTI therefore they are talking for coalition with PTI.Yesterday Khwaja saad rafique very cleverly offered a coalition to PTI because they know the potential of PTI , but PTI themselves do not understand their force.
In Punjab , PTI should start opposing PML-N clearly , they have to beat Nawaz League if they want to come in govt. in any time in Pakistan.
In NWFP , it is ANP.
In Rural Sindh , they have to target PPP.
In Urban sindh , they should forget about winning untill next 20 years.
2 – Which Province to be given more priority ?
As i have suggested many times before , PTI should stop strange politics of bashing MQM and rather focus on national level.They have a good edge over MQM that they may be more popular than MQM in punjab , and Punjab is THE KEY in pakistani politics , One who grabs punjab will take government . Karachi is not the key
. May be its hard to digest for PTI members but seriously PTI cannot beat MQM in Karachi in next 20 years , n its due to MQM performance at city districk government level , people of karachi wont like to see another one messing with CDGK , so they will stick to MQM.Anyway topic is not MQM performance in CDGK so i come to point that PTI should focus in those areas which matters in pakistani politics and at the same time they have a chance to win those areas.Primary focus on NWFP
PTI has a very good chance in NWFP . This province has a culture of adopting new political ideas , electing those who come up with brand new , unknown and honest leadership , we have witnessed it many times inlcuding 2002 election when MMA swept across the province . A local imam of mosque defeated giants of ANP.So PTI should work hard to gather support in NWFP and than in election they should make an alliance with Jamat-e-Islami.Both are extreme right wing parties and by contesting election seperately they actually divide their voter base.So better to fight in election together.
Punjab :
As i have already discussed that Punjab is the KEY.You win in Punjab alone and you can rule the country.So PTI should focus in south and west punjab where nawaz league is not so strong and have a chance to defeat them.PTI can ask different independent candidates or honest politicians from PML-Q to join their ranks including sheikh waqas akram , Danial aziz , Hiraj brothers also they can make alliance with MQM in south Punjab but i know this sincere suggestion will be drowned under the sea of arrogance from PTI side.
Sindh :
In Rural Sindh they can opt for sindhi nationalist parties who are ready to leave “azad sindhudesh slogan” and now willing to take part in national politics .Rasool Bakhsh Palijo , Qadir Magsi or similar people who have no feudal background can contribute in making a good alliance .Although MQM is natural partner of PTI in rural sindh as well but again , arrogance is what the hurdle in their decision.
Balochistan :
In balochistan , PTI can ask nationalist parties like BNP(Dr Hayee group) or other parties which are not under the influence of Sardars and feudals.
3 – Choosing the right candidate
There may be two areas in whole pakistan where votes are not being casted on the basis of bradari system.
1-NWFP
2-Major urban centers (Karachi & Lahore)
But elsewhere people do consider their bradari system , sectarian issue , ethnic issue .So while choosing a candidate PTI should consider the ground realities of that area as well.You cannot implement the same rule in Karachi and Mansehra.Both have different demographics and different mindset of people.
Conclusion :
Its time for PTI to leave the politics of arrogance and come with real solution to “win elections” , talking , writing on internet , calling themselves as shaheen/tigers blabla will not change the scenario anymore.They should make political alliances wherever they need , they should select the right candidate , they should rightly identify the opponent in respective areas.Also an important factor , they should not go the etreme limit in politics so that they cannot return(am talking in reference to PTI MQM relationship) .
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